Lagat NAIROBI (Xinhua) -- State-funded
research institutions across East Africa should invest
in modern climate modeling tools to enhance their
capacity to predict future rainfall patterns in the era
of global warming, international scientists said in a
study launched in Nairobi on Saturday.
The study that has been published in
the acclaimed Journal of Climate stated that timely
prediction will enhance the capacity of local
communities in the eastern African region to cope with
torrential rains linked to climate change.
“Extremes of tropical rainfall like
the one experienced in Kenya recently can be devastating
to developing economies,” said Dave Rowell, a co-author
of the study that is supported by the East African
Community (EAC) and bilateral partners.
He stressed that researchers should
tackle disagreements over climate modeling to boost
rainfall prediction in a region already grappling with
devastating impacts of floods.
The latest study on the future of
rainfall in East Africa in the light of global warming
will enable governments and industry to come up with
improved coping mechanisms tailor-made for local
Researchers noted that the existing
climate models point to a future of heavy rainfall
accompanied by flash-floods in most parts of East Africa
due to rising temperatures.
“Over the coming decades, climate
models predict that uncontrolled green house gas
emissions will lead to significant changes in the
frequency, intensity and distribution of rainfall in the
eastern African region,” noted the study.
It warned that poor infrastructure and
over-reliance on agriculture will worsen the
vulnerability of local communities in the event of
John Marsham, a co-author of the
study, said that updated climate modeling is key to
giving accurate predictions of future rainfall patterns
in the East African region.
“Understanding and predicting future
changes in tropical rainfall is one of the greatest and
most important challenges facing climate science today,”
He noted that evidence-based research
will enable policymakers and communities to prepare
adequately for extreme weather events linked to climate